Train passing through narrow Hanoi street lined with lanterns, flags, and cafe seating
    Back to Our Insights
    12 min read

    Why Vietnam's 100 million consumers are an opportunity you can't ignore

    We have lived in Vietnam for over a decade. When we arrived, Ho Chi Minh City had a handful of international coffee chains and one or two proper shopping centres. Today, every block has a mix of local and global brands competing for attention. The country has changed faster than almost anywhere else in the world, and the consumer market is at an inflection point that European companies should be paying close attention to.

    A country that grew up fast

    Vietnam's economic transformation over the past two decades has been remarkable by any measure. The country went from being one of Asia's poorest economies to a lower-middle-income powerhouse with consistent GDP growth of 6 to 7% annually for most of the past decade. Its population has just crossed 100 million, with a median age of around 31. That is younger than China, Thailand, and most of Europe.

    Urbanisation is accelerating at a pace that is hard to appreciate from the outside. Neighbourhoods in Ho Chi Minh City that were rice paddies ten years ago now have shopping malls, apartment towers, and international school campuses. Hanoi's western districts have expanded into what feels like an entirely new city. The physical landscape changes so quickly that returning after a six-month trip abroad means relearning parts of the city you thought you knew.

    For companies looking at Vietnam purely as a manufacturing base, this growth story is background noise. But for companies thinking about selling into the country, it is the main event. Vietnam is not just making things for the world. It is becoming a consumer market in its own right.

    The rise of the Vietnamese middle class

    The numbers tell a clear story. According to World Bank and McKinsey projections, Vietnam's middle class is expected to exceed 50 million people by 2030. That would make it one of the largest middle-class populations in Southeast Asia. Disposable income has been rising steadily, and the effects are visible everywhere.

    Walk into any WinMart, Emart, or Aeon supermarket in Hanoi or Ho Chi Minh City and you see aisles stocked with imported European dairy products, Australian beef, Japanese snacks, and Korean cosmetics. Ten years ago, these products were available only in a handful of specialty shops catering to expatriates. Today, Vietnamese consumers are the primary buyers.

    The upgrade is happening across categories. People who used to buy the cheapest option available are now choosing brands they trust, products they have researched, and quality they believe will last. This shift from price-first to quality-and-brand-first is not happening in every segment yet, but in food, health, personal care, and home goods, the trend is unmistakable.

    Young, digital, and brand-conscious

    Vietnam has one of the youngest populations in Southeast Asia, and it is one of the most digitally connected. Smartphone penetration is above 70%, and social media usage is among the highest in the region. Platforms like TikTok, Facebook, and Zalo (Vietnam's homegrown messaging app) are not just communication tools. They are where consumers discover, research, and buy products.

    Social commerce has exploded. TikTok Shop, Shopee, and Lazada have created an ecosystem where a small European brand can reach millions of Vietnamese consumers without needing a physical retail presence. We have watched this shift happen in real time. Five years ago, e-commerce in Vietnam was dominated by electronics and fashion. Today, fresh food, supplements, imported snacks, and home goods are all growing fast on these platforms.

    What strikes us most is how quickly Vietnamese consumers have become brand-conscious. In many categories, they do not just buy what is cheapest or most convenient. They research. They compare. They read reviews. They care about where a product comes from and what the brand stands for. For European companies with genuine quality and heritage, this is a significant advantage.

    Where the real opportunities are

    Consumer goods and FMCG

    Vietnam already imports significant volumes of European food, beverages, and personal care products. The EU-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement (EVFTA) has made this easier by reducing or eliminating tariffs on many European goods entering the country. The practical effect is that European products are becoming more price-competitive against alternatives from countries without similar trade agreements.

    We see specific examples of this playing out. Scandinavian dairy brands have gained real traction in Vietnamese supermarkets. European chocolate and confectionery are growing fast, particularly in the premium gift segment. Italian and French wines have found a receptive audience among younger urban professionals who associate European origin with quality and sophistication.

    The key insight here is that Vietnamese consumers do not view European goods as exotic luxuries. They view them as aspirational but achievable upgrades. That is exactly the sweet spot for market entry.

    Health, wellness, and premium nutrition

    This is one of the fastest-growing segments in the Vietnamese consumer market. Health awareness increased significantly during and after COVID, and it has not faded. Demand for dietary supplements, organic food, functional beverages, and natural personal care products is growing at double-digit rates.

    Parents are spending heavily on premium infant nutrition. The willingness to pay a significant premium for imported baby formula, organic baby food, and children's supplements is remarkable. Specialised retail chains like Guardian and Medicare are expanding rapidly, and their shelves are increasingly stocked with European and Australian health brands.

    For European companies in the health and wellness space, Vietnam represents a market where "European quality" is not just a marketing claim. It is a genuine differentiator that consumers actively seek out and are willing to pay for.

    Home and lifestyle

    Rapid urbanisation is driving demand for home furnishings, kitchen equipment, and home improvement products. Millions of Vietnamese families are moving into new apartments and houses, and they are furnishing them differently than previous generations. The appetite for Scandinavian and European design aesthetics is growing, driven in part by social media and in part by a genuine shift in taste.

    IKEA entered the Vietnamese market through a franchise partner, and its stores have drawn enormous attention. But IKEA is just the most visible example. There is growing demand across the home category: lighting, textiles, kitchenware, storage, and bathroom products. Vietnamese consumers are discovering that quality home products last longer and cost less over time, and that realisation is changing buying behaviour.

    We have worked with European home goods companies evaluating the Vietnamese market, and the consistent finding is that demand exists for products that offer genuine quality at mid-to-premium price points. The challenge is not demand. It is distribution and awareness.

    Technology and digital services

    The opportunity in Vietnam extends well beyond physical goods. SaaS, fintech, edtech, and digital health are all booming. Major venture capital firms have backed Vietnamese tech startups, and the country's tech talent pool is attracting attention from global companies. Vietnam produces over 50,000 IT graduates annually, and the quality of technical education has improved dramatically.

    What is particularly interesting is the feedback loop between manufacturing and consumer tech. Companies like Foxconn, Samsung, and their suppliers have created a tech-savvy workforce that is now also becoming a tech-savvy consumer base. These workers earn above-average incomes, are comfortable with technology, and are early adopters of new digital services. They represent a growing segment of sophisticated, connected consumers that did not exist a decade ago.

    Why foreign companies have a real advantage right now

    Trade agreements that actually matter

    The EVFTA is not just a policy document. It is a concrete competitive edge for European companies selling into Vietnam. Tariff reductions on European goods are real and significant across many product categories including food, beverages, machinery, pharmaceuticals, and consumer products.

    This is not theoretical. Companies are already using EVFTA to price European goods competitively against alternatives from countries without similar agreements. A European food brand that would have struggled on price against a Thai or Chinese competitor five years ago can now compete head-to-head. Vietnam is also part of RCEP and CPTPP, creating a broader regional trade web that opens additional possibilities for companies using Vietnam as a hub.

    Trust in European quality

    Vietnamese consumers have strong positive associations with European brands. "Made in Europe" carries weight here, especially in food, health, and lifestyle categories. This perception is built on genuine quality differences that consumers have experienced firsthand as more European products have become available.

    This is an advantage that does not require massive marketing budgets to establish. In many emerging markets, foreign brands need to spend heavily to build trust. In Vietnam, European brands start with a baseline of credibility that would take years and millions of dollars to build in other markets. The challenge is making consumers aware that your product exists and making it accessible. The trust is already there.

    First-mover windows are still open

    Unlike China, Japan, or even Thailand, many product categories in Vietnam are still underserved. The competitive landscape is less crowded than in more mature Asian markets. Companies entering now can build brand recognition and distribution networks before the market gets saturated.

    We regularly encounter categories where clear consumer demand exists but no European company has established a presence. Premium pet food, specialised kitchen tools, natural cleaning products, high-quality children's furniture: the list is longer than you might expect. These are not niche categories. They represent real market gaps where a well-positioned European brand could establish itself as the category leader.

    The investment wave that is reshaping the country

    If you want to understand the trajectory of Vietnam's consumer market, look at what major global corporations are doing with their capital. These are not speculative bets. They are massive, long-term commitments by companies that have done their homework.

    Foxconn has committed billions to manufacturing expansion in Vietnam, building factories in Bac Giang and other northern provinces. This is not just about export manufacturing. Every factory creates thousands of jobs, and those workers become consumers with above-average incomes spending money in the local economy.

    Samsung's total investment in Vietnam has exceeded $20 billion. The company's factories in Bac Ninh and Thai Nguyen have created entire urban economies around them. Samsung alone employs over 100,000 people in Vietnam, and the ripple effect through local suppliers, services, and retail is enormous.

    LEGO opened its first Vietnamese factory in 2024, a $1.3 billion investment that signals confidence in both the manufacturing base and the regional consumer market. Japanese retail giants including Aeon, Muji, and Uniqlo are expanding aggressively, opening new stores in second-tier cities, not just Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City.

    Consider Starbucks. A decade ago, there were zero Starbucks locations in Vietnam. Today there are well over 100, and the company continues to expand. That trajectory tells you something about the consumer spending power and the appetite for international brands that has developed in a remarkably short time.

    What makes Vietnam different from the rest of Southeast Asia

    Scale and concentration

    One hundred million people in a geographically compact country. Unlike Indonesia, which is spread across 17,000 islands, or the Philippines, where logistics between major cities requires air or sea transport, Vietnam's population is concentrated along a single coastal corridor. This makes logistics and distribution simpler and cheaper than in most other Southeast Asian markets.

    Two major urban centres, Hanoi in the north and Ho Chi Minh City in the south, together represent a market comparable in size to many European countries. A company that establishes distribution in these two cities immediately has access to a consumer base of over 20 million people, with secondary cities like Da Nang, Can Tho, and Hai Phong adding millions more.

    Political stability and economic consistency

    Vietnam's single-party system has maintained a strong and consistent focus on economic development. Whatever one's view of the political structure, the practical result for businesses is policy continuity. Vietnam has committed to FDI attraction and trade liberalisation over decades, not election cycles. Trade agreements are negotiated, ratified, and implemented. Infrastructure projects move forward. Regulatory frameworks evolve gradually rather than swinging with political changes. Many of the companies we work with find this consistency reassuring, particularly compared to markets where policy direction shifts after every election.

    The infrastructure is catching up

    Infrastructure has historically been Vietnam's weak point compared to China or Thailand. That is changing quickly. Ho Chi Minh City's first metro line opened in late 2024, with additional lines under construction. Hanoi is building its own metro network. The national expressway system has expanded dramatically, cutting travel times between major cities significantly.

    Long Thanh International Airport, currently under construction near Ho Chi Minh City, will be one of the largest airports in Southeast Asia when completed. These are not plans on paper. They are visible, active construction projects that anyone visiting the country can see for themselves. The infrastructure gap is closing, and with it, one of the last remaining barriers to treating Vietnam as a serious consumer market.

    A market that rewards those who show up

    The opportunity in Vietnam is not about reading reports or running analyses from a European office. It is about being present, understanding the pace of change, and acting before the window narrows.

    Having watched this country transform over the past decade, we are more optimistic about the next ten years than we were about the last ten. The foundation has been laid: a large and growing middle class, strong consumer appetite for quality products, trade agreements that favour European goods, and a competitive landscape that still has room for new entrants.

    The companies that succeed in Vietnam are not always the ones with the biggest budgets or the most sophisticated market entry strategies. They are the ones that commit early, build real presence on the ground, and take the time to understand how this market actually works. Vietnam rewards those who show up. And right now, the invitation is wide open.

    Portrait of Lukas Faxå

    Author

    Lukas Faxå

    Partner

    E-mail

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Exploring the Vietnamese consumer market?

    We help European companies identify opportunities, find distribution partners, and build market presence in Vietnam.

    Book a 30-min call